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Who to start · 2025-26

Brent Burns vs David Pastrnak

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.

Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Pastrnak had 100 in 77 games.

This week Burns has 1 game left; Pastrnak has 1 left. We project Pastrnak for 2.5 ESPN points to Burns's 1.4.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Burns's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.8, Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 56.1%.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Hits 86, Offensive-zone start % 64.7%, Ice-time share 33.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brent Burns

1.38

fantasy points per game

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBurnsPastrnak
Goals (+2)0.270.66
Assists (+1)0.330.93
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.35
Hits (+0.1)0.030.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.550.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Burns vs Pastrnak

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BurnsPastrnak
6Team record in 16 meetings10
6Points in those games19

Burns 2G 4A, 43 SOG · Pastrnak 9G 10A, 51 SOG

5Shots blocked by the other0

Burns blocked 5 of Pastrnak's shots; Pastrnak blocked 0 of Burns's.

On the ice against each other (Burns's side)

8:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Burns's side

Shot attempts
11–8
57.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.5
39.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Brent Burns and David Pastrnak
DateScoreBurnsPastrnak
2025-10-25COL 2–3 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-18COL 4–1 BOS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-05CAR 1–5 BOS0G 0A 2S3G 2A 5S
2025-03-06CAR 3–2 BOS1G 0A 3S0G 1A 7S
2024-10-31CAR 8–2 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 2A 3S
2024-04-09CAR 4–1 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-04CAR 1–4 BOS0G 0A 0S1G 1A 4S
2024-01-24CAR 3–2 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2023-03-26CAR 3–4 BOS0G 0A 2S2G 0A 7S
2023-01-29CAR 4–1 BOS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-25CAR 2–3 BOS0G 0A 6S1G 1A 4S
2022-02-26SJS 1–3 BOS0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BurnsPastrnak

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brent Burns

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.4 pts

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B2.5 pts

FAQ

Should I start Brent Burns or David Pastrnak in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Pastrnak had 100 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brent Burns or David Pastrnak?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Burns and Pastrnak done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 6–10. Burns had 6 points (2 goals) and Pastrnak had 19 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →