Who to start · 2025-26
Brent Burns vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.
Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Burns has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Burns's 0.9.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Burns's biggest edges: High-danger chances 56.1%, Scoring chances 55.0%, Corsi 55.6%.
Dobson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 188, Hits 62, 20+ mph bursts 65.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brent Burns
1.38
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Burns | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.55 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Burns vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Burns 3G 10A, 79 SOG · Dobson 2G 9A, 59 SOG
Burns blocked 3 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 4 of Burns's.
On the ice against each other (Burns's side)
14:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Burns's side
- Shot attempts
- 27–13
- 67.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–1.1
- 53.6%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Burns | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | COL 3–7 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-29 | COL 7–2 MTL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6–4 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-12-17 | CAR 4–0 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-07 | CAR 3–4 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | CAR 6–3 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | CAR 2–3 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-25 · PO | CAR 3–2 NYI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-22 · PO | CAR 5–3 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-20 · PO | CAR 3–1 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-19 | CAR 4–1 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | CAR 4–5 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brent Burns
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brent Burns or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brent Burns or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Burns and Dobson done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 18–8. Burns had 13 points (3 goals) and Dobson had 11 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →