Who to start · 2025-26
Brent Burns vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brent Burns projects to 1.38 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Burns has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Burns for 1.4 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.
Brent Burns has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Burns's biggest edges: Plus/minus +33, Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +4.8.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Hits 48.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brent Burns
1.38
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brent Burns has the edge.
| Points per game from | Burns | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.55 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Burns vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Burns 1G 7A, 67 SOG · Toffoli 3G 3A, 64 SOG
Burns blocked 3 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 3 of Burns's.
On the ice against each other (Burns's side)
13:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Burns's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–10
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.3
- 61.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Burns | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6–0 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-01 | COL 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-20 | CAR 3–1 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-10 | CAR 3–2 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-10 | CAR 1–0 NJD | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2024-01-25 | CAR 3–2 NJD | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-26 | CAR 3–2 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-22 | CAR 2–3 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-04-07 | SJS 2–4 CGY | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-22 | SJS 4–3 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-10-28 | SJS 0–4 MTL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brent Burns
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.4 pts
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brent Burns or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brent Burns projects to 1.38 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brent Burns or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brent Burns leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Burns and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 16–8. Burns had 8 points (1 goals) and Toffoli had 6 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →