Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Christian Dvorak
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dvorak has 1 left. We project Nelson for 1.3 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Fenwick 57.3%, Corsi 57.5%, Scoring chances 58.3%.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 54.5%, On-ice PDO 1027.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Nelson 30–29.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.40 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Dvorak
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 12G 6A, 45 SOG · Dvorak 2G 4A, 29 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 12–10 · neutral 9–13 · Nelson's defensive zone 8–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Nelson blocked 1 of Dvorak's shots; Dvorak blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
9:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–14
- 36.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.7
- 23.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | COL 3–7 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-07 | COL 3–2 PHI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-22 | COL 5–4 MTL | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-03 | NYI 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-19 | NYI 4–3 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-11 | NYI 3–2 MTL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-16 | NYI 3–5 MTL | 2G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-11 | NYI 3–4 MTL | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-14 | NYI 2–1 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-15 | NYI 3–0 MTL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-04 | NYI 6–2 MTL | 4G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2020-02-17 | NYI 1–2 ARI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Christian Dvorak in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Christian Dvorak?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Dvorak done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 10–6. Nelson had 18 points (12 goals) and Dvorak had 6 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Dvorak?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 29 and Dvorak 30 of their 59 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →