Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Connor Bedard
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bedard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Scoring chances 58.3%, Fenwick 57.3%, High-danger chances 57.1%.
Bedard's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.85, Luck Meter +36, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.
Head to head on the dot, Nelson leads Bedard 11–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.00
fantasy points per game
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Bedard |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.87 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Bedard
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 1G 3A, 9 SOG · Bedard 3G 5A, 22 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 4–1 · neutral 3–1 · Nelson's defensive zone 4–3 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
9:18 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–9
- 60.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.4
- 70.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Bedard |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | COL 4–1 CHI | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-02-28 | COL 3–1 CHI | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-23 | COL 1–0 CHI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-02 | COL 3–2 CHI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-10 | COL 3–0 CHI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-15 | NYI 3–5 CHI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5–4 CHI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2–1 CHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Connor Bedard?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Bedard done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 7–1. Nelson had 4 points (1 goals) and Bedard had 8 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Bedard?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 11 and Bedard 5 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →