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Who to start · 2025-26

Brock Nelson vs Evan Bouchard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23.

Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games.

This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bouchard has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bouchard for 1.9 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Nelson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 65, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000, On-ice PDO 1010.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Ascension score 68, Luck Meter +55, Hardest shot 98.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brock Nelson

2.23

fantasy points per game

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNelsonBouchard
Goals (+2)0.890.92
Assists (+1)0.501.03
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.30
Hits (+0.1)0.040.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nelson vs Bouchard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NelsonBouchard
4Team record in 9 meetings5
3Points in those games6

Nelson 0G 3A, 22 SOG · Bouchard 1G 5A, 28 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Nelson blocked 1 of Bouchard's shots; Bouchard blocked 1 of Nelson's.

On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)

15:57 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side

Shot attempts
12–21
36.4%
Expected goals
0.8–1.1
41.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Brock Nelson and Evan Bouchard
DateScoreNelsonBouchard
2026-04-13COL 2–1 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2026-03-10COL 3–4 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 2A 4S
2025-11-08COL 9–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2024-11-12NYI 3–4 EDM0G 1A 1S1G 2A 8S
2023-12-19NYI 3–1 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-13NYI 1–4 EDM0G 0A 10S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-05NYI 2–4 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-23NYI 3–0 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-11NYI 1–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NelsonBouchard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brock Nelson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Brock Nelson or Evan Bouchard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brock Nelson or Evan Bouchard?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Nelson and Bouchard done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 4–5. Nelson had 3 points (0 goals) and Bouchard had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →