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Who to start · 2025-26

Brock Nelson vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Nelson for 1.3 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Brock Nelson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nelson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.1, 20+ mph bursts 150, Power-play time per game 3:14.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.80, Hardest shot 98.4, Offensive-zone start % 59.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brock Nelson

2.23

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNelsonEkholm
Goals (+2)0.890.13
Assists (+1)0.500.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.15
Hits (+0.1)0.040.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nelson vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NelsonEkholm
4Team record in 15 meetings11
11Points in those games11

Nelson 2G 9A, 33 SOG · Ekholm 2G 9A, 29 SOG

2Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other3

Nelson blocked 1 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 3 of Nelson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)

15:08 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side

Shot attempts
9–20
31.0%
Expected goals
0.7–1.1
39.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Brock Nelson and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreNelsonEkholm
2026-04-13COL 2–1 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-10COL 3–4 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-08COL 9–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-12NYI 3–4 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 6S
2023-12-19NYI 3–1 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 1A 5S
2023-11-13NYI 1–4 EDM0G 0A 10S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-02NYI 1–4 NSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-17NYI 4–5 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-10-30NYI 2–3 NSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2020-02-13NYI 0–5 NSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2019-12-17NYI 3–8 NSH1G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2018-10-13NYI 2–5 NSH1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NelsonEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brock Nelson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Brock Nelson or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brock Nelson or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nelson and Ekholm done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 4–11. Nelson had 11 points (2 goals) and Ekholm had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →