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Who to start · 2025-26

Brock Nelson vs Noah Dobson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17.

Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.

This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.

Brock Nelson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nelson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 57.1%, Scoring chances 58.3%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000.

Dobson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.60, Luck Meter +25, Hits 62.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brock Nelson

2.23

fantasy points per game

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNelsonDobson
Goals (+2)0.890.28
Assists (+1)0.500.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.19
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.381.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nelson vs Dobson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NelsonDobson
1Team record in 2 meetings1
5Points in those games1

Nelson 3G 2A, 4 SOG · Dobson 1G 0A, 7 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other0

Nelson blocked 3 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 0 of Nelson's.

34Goals set up by the other9

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)

11:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side

Shot attempts
15–9
62.5%
Expected goals
0.8–0.8
48.7%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Brock Nelson and Noah Dobson
DateScoreNelsonDobson
2026-01-29COL 3–7 MTL1G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2025-11-29COL 7–2 MTL2G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NelsonDobson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brock Nelson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Brock Nelson or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brock Nelson or Noah Dobson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nelson and Dobson done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 1–1. Nelson had 5 points (3 goals) and Dobson had 1 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →