Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: Corsi 57.5%, Fenwick 57.3%, Forecheck xG /60 0.42.
Johnston's biggest edges: Luck Meter +27, Transition attempts /60 1.34, Goals above expected +4.9.
Head to head on the dot, Johnston leads Nelson 29–24.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 0G 10A, 36 SOG · Johnston 5G 9A, 41 SOG
Nelson's offensive zone 15–21 · neutral 4–2 · Nelson's defensive zone 5–6 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
Nelson blocked 0 of Johnston's shots; Johnston blocked 1 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
18:51 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 24–15
- 61.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–1.8
- 28.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | COL 2–0 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-18 | COL 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-06 | COL 5–4 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | COL 4–5 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-05-03 · PO | COL 2–4 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-01 · PO | COL 7–4 DAL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-28 · PO | COL 2–6 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-26 · PO | COL 4–0 DAL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-23 · PO | COL 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-21 · PO | COL 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-04-19 · PO | COL 5–1 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-16 | COL 4–3 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brock Nelson's 2.23. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Johnston done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 8–10. Nelson had 10 points (0 goals) and Johnston had 14 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Johnston?
- Against each other, Nelson has won 24 and Johnston 29 of their 53 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →