Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Bryan Rust vs Cale Makar

Bryan RustBryan RustPenguins · Right wingvsCale MakarCale MakarAvalanche · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cale Makar projects to 2.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bryan Rust's 2.28.

Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Makar had 79 in 75 games.

This week Rust has 1 game left; Makar has 1 left. We project Makar for 2.5 ESPN points to Rust's 2.2.

Cale Makar has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Rust's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.2, Shorthanded points 2, Luck Meter +44.

Makar's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.69, Expected goals 57.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bryan Rust

2.28

fantasy points per game

Cale Makar

2.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cale Makar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRustMakar
Goals (+2)0.810.53
Assists (+1)0.500.79
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.79

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Bryan Rust and Cale Makar have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RustMakar

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bryan Rust

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Cale Makar

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.5 pts
    Schedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Bryan Rust or Cale Makar in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cale Makar projects to 2.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bryan Rust's 2.28. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Makar had 79 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bryan Rust or Cale Makar?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cale Makar leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →