Who to start · 2025-26
Bryan Rust vs Evan Bouchard
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bryan Rust's 2.28.
Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games.
This week Rust has 1 game left; Bouchard has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Bouchard's 1.9.
Evan Bouchard has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Rust's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Blocked shots 71, Top skating speed 22.8.
Bouchard's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Expected goals 58.3%, Sequence xG 58.4%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Evan Bouchard
2.55
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rust | Bouchard |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.51 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.62 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rust vs Bouchard
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rust 3G 4A, 31 SOG · Bouchard 3G 6A, 33 SOG
Rust blocked 3 of Bouchard's shots; Bouchard blocked 1 of Rust's.
On the ice against each other (Rust's side)
15:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–20
- 20.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–1.2
- 13.7%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rust | Bouchard |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | PIT 6–2 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-12-16 | PIT 4–6 EDM | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-09 | PIT 5–3 EDM | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 10S |
| 2024-10-25 | PIT 0–4 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-03-10 | PIT 0–4 EDM | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-23 | PIT 2–7 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-24 | PIT 3–6 EDM | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2022-04-26 | PIT 1–5 EDM | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2018-10-23 | PIT 6–5 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bryan Rust
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Evan Bouchard
3games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bryan Rust or Evan Bouchard in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bryan Rust's 2.28. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bryan Rust or Evan Bouchard?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rust and Bouchard done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 3–6. Rust had 7 points (3 goals) and Bouchard had 9 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →