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Who to start · 2025-26

Bryan Rust vs Ivan Barbashev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59.

Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Barbashev had 61 in 82 games.

This week Rust has 1 game left; Barbashev has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Barbashev's 1.8.

Bryan Rust has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Rust's biggest edges: Power-play share 74.5%, Power-play time per game 3:18, 20+ mph bursts 124.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Expected goals 57.3%, Sequence xG 57.2%, Hits 137.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bryan Rust

2.28

fantasy points per game

Ivan Barbashev

1.62

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRustBarbashev
Goals (+2)0.810.56
Assists (+1)0.500.46
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.16
Hits (+0.1)0.050.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rust vs Barbashev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RustBarbashev
8Team record in 11 meetings3
14Points in those games6

Rust 6G 8A, 33 SOG · Barbashev 2G 4A, 11 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Rust's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Rust's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22)

0Hits on each other1
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Rust's side)

10:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side

Shot attempts
11–10
52.4%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
33.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Bryan Rust and Ivan Barbashev
DateScoreRustBarbashev
2026-03-12PIT 2–6 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-01PIT 5–0 VGK1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-07PIT 0–4 VGK0G 0A 5S1G 0A 1S
2024-01-20PIT 2–3 VGK0G 0A 5S0G 2A 2S
2023-11-19PIT 3–0 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-25PIT 3–2 STL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-03PIT 6–2 STL1G 3A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-17PIT 3–2 STL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2022-01-05PIT 5–3 STL2G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2018-12-29PIT 6–1 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2018-02-11PIT 4–1 STL1G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RustBarbashev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bryan Rust

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Bryan Rust or Ivan Barbashev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Barbashev had 61 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bryan Rust or Ivan Barbashev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Bryan Rust leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rust and Barbashev done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 8–3. Rust had 14 points (6 goals) and Barbashev had 6 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Rust or Barbashev?
Against each other, Rust has won 0 and Barbashev 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →