Who to start · 2025-26
Bryan Rust vs Kirill Marchenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.
Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.
This week Rust has 1 game left; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.
Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Rust's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.5, Blocked shots 71, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.
Marchenko's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.56, Expected goals 52.1%, Scoring chances 53.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Kirill Marchenko
2.02
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rust | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.26 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rust vs Marchenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rust 4G 5A, 30 SOG · Marchenko 4G 5A, 30 SOG
On the ice against each other (Rust's side)
10:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–15
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–1.1
- 1.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rust | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | PIT 3–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-04 | PIT 5–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-25 | PIT 4–5 CBJ | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-21 | PIT 6–3 CBJ | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-07 | PIT 3–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-15 | PIT 2–6 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-03-30 | PIT 3–4 CBJ | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-03-28 | PIT 3–2 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-14 | PIT 5–3 CBJ | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-13 | PIT 2–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-06 | PIT 4–1 CBJ | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bryan Rust
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bryan Rust or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bryan Rust or Kirill Marchenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rust and Marchenko done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 5–6. Rust had 9 points (4 goals) and Marchenko had 9 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →