Who to start · 2025-26
Bryan Rust vs Mark Scheifele
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mark Scheifele's 2.23.
Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games.
This week Rust has 1 game left; Scheifele has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Scheifele's 1.6.
Mark Scheifele has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Rust's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.32, High-danger chances 51.4%, Blocked shots 71.
Scheifele's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 594, Scoring chances 52.5%, Sequence xG 49.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Mark Scheifele
2.37
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rust | Scheifele |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.82 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.29 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rust vs Scheifele
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rust 3G 4A, 29 SOG · Scheifele 7G 6A, 27 SOG
Rust's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Rust's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
Rust blocked 0 of Scheifele's shots; Scheifele blocked 1 of Rust's.
On the ice against each other (Rust's side)
11:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–12
- 52.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.7
- 56.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rust | Scheifele |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | PIT 5–4 WPG | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-01 | PIT 2–5 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-22 | PIT 1–4 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-20 | PIT 3–6 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | PIT 1–2 WPG | 1G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-06 | PIT 3–0 WPG | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-13 | PIT 1–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-19 | PIT 3–0 WPG | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-23 | PIT 3–2 WPG | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-11-22 | PIT 3–1 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-01-04 | PIT 4–0 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2018-11-27 | PIT 4–3 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bryan Rust
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Mark Scheifele
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bryan Rust or Mark Scheifele in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mark Scheifele's 2.23. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bryan Rust or Mark Scheifele?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rust and Scheifele done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 8–6. Rust had 7 points (3 goals) and Scheifele had 13 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Rust or Scheifele?
- Against each other, Rust has won 0 and Scheifele 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →