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Who to start · 2025-26

Bryan Rust vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Rust has 1 game left; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Bryan Rust has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Rust's biggest edges: Plus/minus 0, On-ice PDO 1019, Blocked shots 71.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Scoring chances 53.5%, High-danger chances 56.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bryan Rust

2.28

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.48

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRustGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.810.34
Assists (+1)0.500.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.15
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rust vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RustGavrikov
9Team record in 12 meetings3
11Points in those games3

Rust 4G 7A, 37 SOG · Gavrikov 0G 3A, 16 SOG

0Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other4

Rust blocked 2 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 4 of Rust's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Rust's side)

16:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side

Shot attempts
8–15
34.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
30.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Bryan Rust and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreRustGavrikov
2026-02-28PIT 2–3 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-11PIT 1–6 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-20PIT 5–1 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-17PIT 3–2 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2024-02-18PIT 1–2 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-09PIT 4–3 LAK1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-06PIT 4–1 CBJ1G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-10-22PIT 6–3 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-29PIT 5–3 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-22PIT 5–1 CBJ1G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-27PIT 3–2 CBJ0G 2A 8S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-12PIT 1–0 CBJ1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RustGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bryan Rust

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Bryan Rust or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bryan Rust or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Bryan Rust leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rust and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 9–3. Rust had 11 points (4 goals) and Gavrikov had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →