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Who to start · 2025-26

Carter Verhaeghe vs Connor McDavid

Carter VerhaegheCarter VerhaeghePanthers · CentrevsConnor McDavidConnor McDavidOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50.

Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Verhaeghe has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Verhaeghe's 1.6.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.014, Hardest shot 86.0, Hits 68.

McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Ascension score 62, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Verhaeghe

1.50

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVerhaegheMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.571.15
Assists (+1)0.401.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.35
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.35
Hits (+0.1)0.080.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VerhaegheMcDavid
14Team record in 23 meetings9
23Points in those games32

Verhaeghe 10G 13A, 59 SOG · McDavid 8G 24A, 71 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other2

Verhaeghe's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Verhaeghe's defensive zone 1–1 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)

10:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Verhaeghe's side

Shot attempts
14–11
56.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
46.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Carter Verhaeghe and Connor McDavid
DateScoreVerhaegheMcDavid
2026-03-19FLA 4–0 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-22FLA 3–6 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-06-17 · POFLA 5–1 EDM0G 3A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-06-14 · POFLA 5–2 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-06-12 · POFLA 4–5 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2025-06-09 · POFLA 6–1 EDM1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-06-06 · POFLA 5–4 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 3A 7S
2025-06-04 · POFLA 3–4 EDM0G 2A 0S0G 2A 4S
2025-02-27FLA 4–3 EDM1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-12-16FLA 6–5 EDM1G 1A 4S0G 3A 0S
2024-06-24 · POFLA 2–1 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-06-21 · POFLA 1–5 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VerhaegheMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Carter Verhaeghe

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Verhaeghe and McDavid done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 14–9. Verhaeghe had 23 points (10 goals) and McDavid had 32 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Verhaeghe or McDavid?
Against each other, Verhaeghe has won 1 and McDavid 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →