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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.23, Faceoffs won 759.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Sequence xG 54.3%, Expected goals 54.4%, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%.

Head to head on the dot, Stephenson leads Rantanen 12–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonRantanen
Goals (+2)0.500.64
Assists (+1)0.390.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.21
Hits (+0.1)0.020.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonRantanen
14Team record in 34 meetings20
11Points in those games33

Stephenson 3G 8A, 41 SOG · Rantanen 15G 18A, 96 SOG

12Faceoffs against each other11

Stephenson's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 2–1 · Stephenson's defensive zone 9–10 (2020-21 to 2024-25)

6Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Stephenson blocked 1 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 0 of Stephenson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

9:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
10–14
41.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.9
24.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreStephensonRantanen
2025-11-26SEA 2–3 DAL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-09SEA 1–2 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2025-03-31SEA 1–3 DAL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-29SEA 1–5 DAL0G 0A 0S1G 2A 4S
2024-12-22SEA 2–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2024-11-05SEA 3–6 COL0G 1A 1S2G 0A 3S
2024-10-22SEA 2–3 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-14VGK 4–3 COL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 6S
2024-01-10VGK 0–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 6S
2023-11-04VGK 7–0 COL0G 2A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-02-27VGK 0–3 COL0G 0A 1S2G 0A 3S
2023-01-02VGK 3–2 COL0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 34 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Rantanen done against each other?
In 34 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 14–20. Stephenson had 11 points (3 goals) and Rantanen had 33 (15 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Rantanen?
Against each other, Stephenson has won 12 and Rantanen 11 of their 23 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →