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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 169, On-ice PDO 1009, Blocked shots 56.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Offensive-zone start % 60.5%.

Head to head on the dot, Stephenson leads Nugent-Hopkins 20–13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.42

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.400.56
Assists (+1)0.410.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.18
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.350.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonNugent-Hopkins
12Team record in 28 meetings16
8Points in those games33

Stephenson 5G 3A, 34 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 7G 26A, 56 SOG

20Faceoffs against each other13

Stephenson's offensive zone 15–4 · neutral 2–7 · Stephenson's defensive zone 3–2 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Stephenson blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 0 of Stephenson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

4:24 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
3–4
42.9%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
63.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreStephensonNugent-Hopkins
2026-03-31SEA 0–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-04SEA 4–9 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 3A 0S
2025-11-29SEA 0–4 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2025-10-25SEA 3–2 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-27SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-04SEA 2–4 EDM1G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-02-06VGK 3–1 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-28VGK 4–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-05-14 · POVGK 5–2 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-05-12 · POVGK 4–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 3A 2S
2023-05-10 · POVGK 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2023-05-08 · POVGK 5–1 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 12–16. Stephenson had 8 points (5 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 33 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Stephenson has won 20 and Nugent-Hopkins 13 of their 33 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →