Who to start · 2025-26
Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.
Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Stephenson has 2 games left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project Stephenson for 2.5 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 1.7.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Stephenson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.3, 20+ mph bursts 169, Ascension score 51.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Scoring chances 53.3%, Plus/minus +8, High-danger chances 53.8%.
Head to head on the dot, Stephenson leads O'Reilly 76–76.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Chandler Stephenson
1.47
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stephenson | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stephenson vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stephenson 4G 22A, 33 SOG · O'Reilly 8G 23A, 67 SOG
Stephenson's offensive zone 33–28 · neutral 20–26 · Stephenson's defensive zone 23–22 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Stephenson blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Stephenson's.
On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)
22:08 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–23
- 46.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.8
- 55.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stephenson | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | SEA 1–3 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-10 | SEA 2–4 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-01 | SEA 4–1 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-06 | SEA 3–5 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-20 | SEA 3–0 NSH | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-15 | SEA 7–3 NSH | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-26 | VGK 4–5 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2024-02-20 | VGK 3–5 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-15 | VGK 4–1 NSH | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-23 | VGK 5–4 STL | 1G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-12 | VGK 2–3 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-04-29 | VGK 7–4 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Chandler Stephenson
3games (2 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.2 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.2 pts
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stephenson and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 16–14. Stephenson had 26 points (4 goals) and O'Reilly had 31 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Stephenson has won 76 and O'Reilly 76 of their 152 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →