Who to start · 2025-26
Chandler Stephenson vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Chandler Stephenson projects to 1.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Stephenson has 2 games left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Stephenson for 2.8 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.
Tyler Toffoli has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Stephenson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.3, Faceoffs won 759, 20+ mph bursts 169.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Offensive-zone start % 53.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Chandler Stephenson
1.47
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Chandler Stephenson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stephenson | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stephenson 7G 13A, 35 SOG · Toffoli 13G 10A, 72 SOG
Stephenson's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Stephenson's defensive zone 3–0 (2020-21 to 2023-24)
Stephenson blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Stephenson's.
On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)
13:36 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–19
- 40.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–1.5
- 19.9%
- Goals
- 2–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stephenson | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SEA 4–2 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-15 | SEA 4–1 SJS | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-05 | SEA 1–6 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-05 | SEA 5–1 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-01-30 | SEA 6–2 SJS | 1G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-29 | SEA 5–8 SJS | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-28 | VGK 4–1 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-22 | VGK 5–6 NJD | 1G 1A 5S | 3G 0A 7S |
| 2023-03-23 | VGK 3–2 CGY | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-16 | VGK 2–7 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 2A 4S |
| 2023-02-23 | VGK 4–3 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-18 | VGK 2–3 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Chandler Stephenson
3games (2 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.4 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.4 pts
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Chandler Stephenson projects to 1.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tyler Toffoli leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stephenson and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 13–9. Stephenson had 20 points (7 goals) and Toffoli had 23 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Stephenson or Toffoli?
- Against each other, Stephenson has won 3 and Toffoli 0 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →