Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie Coyle vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie Coyle's 1.82.

Coyle had 58 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Coyle has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Coyle's 1.1.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Coyle's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.44, Hits 111, On-ice PDO 1024.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 65.8%, Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Goals above expected +1.4.

Head to head on the dot, Coyle leads Carlsson 13–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie Coyle

1.82

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCoyleCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.460.90
Assists (+1)0.620.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.26
Hits (+0.1)0.140.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Coyle vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CoyleCarlsson
2Team record in 5 meetings3
5Points in those games4

Coyle 2G 3A, 9 SOG · Carlsson 2G 2A, 8 SOG

13Faceoffs against each other6

Coyle's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 3–3 · Coyle's defensive zone 8–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Coyle's side)

9:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Coyle's side

Shot attempts
11–9
55.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.1
86.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie Coyle and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreCoyleCarlsson
2025-12-20CBJ 3–4 ANA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2025-12-16CBJ 4–3 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-13COL 4–2 ANA1G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-22BOS 2–3 ANA0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2023-10-26BOS 3–4 ANA1G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CoyleCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie Coyle

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie Coyle or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie Coyle's 1.82. Coyle had 58 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie Coyle or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Coyle and Carlsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Coyle's team went 2–3. Coyle had 5 points (2 goals) and Carlsson had 4 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Coyle or Carlsson?
Against each other, Coyle has won 13 and Carlsson 6 of their 19 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →