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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Clayton Keller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games.

This week McAvoy has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Keller has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McAvoy for 3.8 ESPN points to Keller's 3.1.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.2, Hits 79, Faceoffs won 0.

Keller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 69.8%, Corsi 56.4%, Offensive-zone time 46.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Clayton Keller

2.03

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyKeller
Goals (+2)0.320.63
Assists (+1)0.720.76
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.27
Hits (+0.1)0.110.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Keller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyKeller
9Team record in 13 meetings4
6Points in those games10

McAvoy 1G 5A, 24 SOG · Keller 3G 7A, 39 SOG

2Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

McAvoy blocked 2 of Keller's shots; Keller blocked 0 of McAvoy's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

11:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
10–11
47.6%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
70.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Clayton Keller
DateScoreMcAvoyKeller
2025-12-16BOS 4–1 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-10-19BOS 2–3 UTA0G 1A 3S1G 1A 2S
2024-11-21BOS 1–0 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-19BOS 1–2 UTA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-09BOS 3–4 ARI0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2022-12-09BOS 3–4 ARI0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2022-03-12BOS 3–2 ARI0G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S
2022-01-28BOS 2–1 ARI1G 0A 5S0G 1A 5S
2020-02-08BOS 4–2 ARI0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2019-10-05BOS 1–0 ARI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2018-12-11BOS 4–3 ARI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2017-12-07BOS 6–1 ARI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyKeller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG2.1 pts
    Schedule edge +4.1 win%vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Clayton Keller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Clayton Keller's 2.15. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Clayton Keller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Keller done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 9–4. McAvoy had 6 points (1 goals) and Keller had 10 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →