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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Matt Roy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Roy for 1.8 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Charlie McAvoy has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 62, Luck Meter +60, Goals above expected +1.0.

Roy's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Hardest shot 96.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyRoy
Goals (+2)0.320.05
Assists (+1)0.720.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.12
Hits (+0.1)0.110.15
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.92

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyRoy
8Team record in 13 meetings5
11Points in those games5

McAvoy 3G 8A, 25 SOG · Roy 3G 2A, 21 SOG

0Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other1

McAvoy blocked 2 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 1 of McAvoy's.

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

21:27 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
18–21
46.2%
Expected goals
0.6–0.6
49.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Matt Roy
DateScoreMcAvoyRoy
2026-03-14BOS 3–2 WSH2G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2026-03-07BOS 3–1 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-08BOS 3–1 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-31BOS 1–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-23BOS 4–1 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-17BOS 4–5 LAK0G 1A 1S1G 0A 1S
2023-10-21BOS 4–2 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2023-01-05BOS 5–2 LAK0G 2A 0S0G 1A 1S
2022-12-15BOS 2–3 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-07BOS 2–3 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-02-28BOS 7–0 LAK0G 2A 0S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-17BOS 3–4 LAK0G 0A 6S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyRoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Charlie McAvoy leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Roy done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 8–5. McAvoy had 11 points (3 goals) and Roy had 5 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →