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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Charlie McAvoy has the better number in 16 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.2, Luck Meter +70, On-ice PDO 1026.

Ekholm's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.3%, Scoring chances 57.3%, Corsi 56.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyEkholm
Goals (+2)0.320.15
Assists (+1)0.720.43
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.16
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyEkholm
7Team record in 14 meetings7
12Points in those games5

McAvoy 3G 9A, 20 SOG · Ekholm 1G 4A, 27 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other1

McAvoy blocked 2 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 1 of McAvoy's.

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

13:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
8–18
30.8%
Expected goals
0.2–0.9
22.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreMcAvoyEkholm
2025-12-31BOS 6–2 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-18BOS 1–3 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-07BOS 0–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-19BOS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-05BOS 1–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-21BOS 6–5 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 1A 5S
2023-03-09BOS 2–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-16BOS 5–0 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-02BOS 2–0 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2020-01-07BOS 6–2 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2019-12-21BOS 3–4 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2018-12-22BOS 5–2 NSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Charlie McAvoy leads in 16 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Ekholm done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 7–7. McAvoy had 12 points (3 goals) and Ekholm had 5 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →