Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Dvorak's biggest edges: High-danger chances 51.9%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.027, Sequence xG 50.9%.
Dobson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.4, Ascension score 50, Hardest shot 93.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 1G 2A, 17 SOG · Dobson 1G 12A, 26 SOG
Dvorak blocked 2 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 3 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
18:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–16
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.9
- 50.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | PHI 4–1 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-04 | PHI 5–4 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-20 | MTL 3–4 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-12-03 | MTL 2–1 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-19 | MTL 3–4 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 7S |
| 2024-04-11 | MTL 2–3 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-16 | MTL 5–3 NYI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2023-02-11 | MTL 4–3 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-01-14 | MTL 1–2 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2022-04-15 | MTL 0–3 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-04 | MTL 2–6 NYI | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Dvorak and Dobson done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 5–6. Dvorak had 3 points (1 goals) and Dobson had 13 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →