Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 199, Hits 38, Transition attempts /60 1.04.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.2, Corsi 52.6%, Scoring chances 53.3%.
Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Dvorak 91–64.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 8G 7A, 44 SOG · O'Reilly 6G 8A, 50 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 21–33 · neutral 22–21 · Dvorak's defensive zone 21–37 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
2:17 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–2
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | PHI 3–1 NSH | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-30 | PHI 4–1 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-06 | MTL 2–1 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-10 | MTL 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-18 | MTL 1–5 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-10-29 | MTL 7–4 STL | 3G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-17 | ARI 3–2 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-02-12 | ARI 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-02-08 | ARI 4–3 STL | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2021-02-06 | ARI 3–1 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-02-15 | ARI 1–0 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-02-13 | ARI 4–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 13–7. Dvorak had 15 points (8 goals) and O'Reilly had 14 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 64 and O'Reilly 91 of their 155 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →