Who to start · 2025-26
Christian Dvorak vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 54.5%, Plus/minus +11.
Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Ascension score 48, Offensive-zone time 44.4%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Thompson 25–22.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dvorak | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.40 | 0.93 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dvorak 3G 5A, 27 SOG · Thompson 7G 6A, 41 SOG
Dvorak's offensive zone 3–7 · neutral 8–3 · Dvorak's defensive zone 14–12 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Dvorak blocked 1 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Dvorak's.
On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)
9:28 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–12
- 45.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.8
- 54.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dvorak | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | PHI 2–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-12-18 | PHI 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-03 | PHI 5–2 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | MTL 4–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-03-01 | MTL 4–2 BUF | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-17 | MTL 6–1 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-11 | MTL 7–5 BUF | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-09 | MTL 3–2 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-11-22 | MTL 2–7 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 3A 8S |
| 2022-10-27 | MTL 3–2 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2021-11-26 | MTL 1–4 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2021-10-14 | MTL 1–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Christian Dvorak or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dvorak and Thompson done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 8–5. Dvorak had 8 points (3 goals) and Thompson had 13 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Thompson?
- Against each other, Dvorak has won 25 and Thompson 22 of their 47 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →