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Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Tyler Toffoli

Christian DvorakChristian DvorakFlyers · CentrevsTyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Tyler Toffoli has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 199, Plus/minus +11, Faceoffs won 629.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Hardest shot 89.2, Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Transition attempts /60 1.64.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Christian Dvorak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakToffoli
Goals (+2)0.400.45
Assists (+1)0.360.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakToffoli
11Team record in 15 meetings4
10Points in those games9

Dvorak 5G 5A, 27 SOG · Toffoli 2G 7A, 58 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other0

Dvorak's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Dvorak's defensive zone 3–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

2Goals set up by the other2

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

5:01 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
5–3
62.5%
Expected goals
0.5–0.1
79.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreDvorakToffoli
2025-12-09PHI 4–1 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-27MTL 4–3 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-04MTL 4–3 SJS0G 0A 0S1G 1A 4S
2022-12-12MTL 2–1 CGY0G 0A 6S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-01MTL 2–1 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 0A 7S
2020-03-04ARI 4–2 VAN0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2020-01-30ARI 2–3 LAK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 9S
2019-11-23ARI 3–2 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2019-11-18ARI 3–0 LAK0G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S
2019-04-02ARI 1–3 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2019-03-09ARI 4–2 LAK2G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2018-03-29ARI 2–4 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 2A 5S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakToffoli

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tyler Toffoli leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Toffoli done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 11–4. Dvorak had 10 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 9 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Dvorak or Toffoli?
Against each other, Dvorak has won 4 and Toffoli 0 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →