Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Kirill Marchenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Caufield's 1.6.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.1, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Ascension score 58, Blocked shots 40, 20+ mph bursts 301.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldMarchenko
Goals (+2)1.180.63
Assists (+1)0.430.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.29
Hits (+0.1)0.080.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldMarchenko
6Team record in 9 meetings3
11Points in those games8

Caufield 4G 7A, 32 SOG · Marchenko 2G 6A, 20 SOG

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

18:45 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
14–26
35.0%
Expected goals
0.5–1.6
23.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreCaufieldMarchenko
2026-09-29MTL 3–2 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2026-04-11MTL 2–5 CBJ1G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2026-03-26MTL 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-17MTL 3–4 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 2A 0S
2024-12-23MTL 4–5 CBJ0G 2A 4S1G 2A 4S
2024-11-27MTL 4–3 CBJ1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-16MTL 5–1 CBJ0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-29MTL 4–2 CBJ1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-26MTL 4–3 CBJ1G 2A 8S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Marchenko done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 6–3. Caufield had 11 points (4 goals) and Marchenko had 8 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →