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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Caufield for 1.6 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Caufield's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1042, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Transition attempts /60 1.65.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Faceoffs won 433, Penalty minutes 33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldCarlsson
Goals (+2)1.180.90
Assists (+1)0.430.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.26
Hits (+0.1)0.080.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldCarlsson
2Team record in 5 meetings3
5Points in those games8

Caufield 3G 2A, 24 SOG · Carlsson 3G 5A, 15 SOG

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

9:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
5–21
19.2%
Expected goals
0.2–1.4
10.3%
Goals
1–3

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreCaufieldCarlsson
2026-03-15MTL 3–4 ANA1G 0A 4S2G 1A 5S
2026-03-06MTL 5–6 ANA2G 1A 4S1G 1A 4S
2025-02-02MTL 2–3 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2024-02-13MTL 5–0 ANA0G 1A 8S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-22MTL 4–3 ANA0G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Caufield and Carlsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 2–3. Caufield had 5 points (3 goals) and Carlsson had 8 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →