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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Caufield for 1.6 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Plus/minus +29, Goals above expected +8.1, Fenwick 54.9%.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Blocked shots 31, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Hardest shot 89.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldToffoli
Goals (+2)1.180.45
Assists (+1)0.430.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.21
Hits (+0.1)0.080.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldToffoli
6Team record in 10 meetings4
10Points in those games9

Caufield 5G 5A, 23 SOG · Toffoli 4G 5A, 31 SOG

2Goals set up by the other2

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

4:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
8–2
80.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
96.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreCaufieldToffoli
2026-03-14MTL 2–4 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-03MTL 5–7 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-27MTL 4–3 SJS1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-04MTL 4–3 SJS1G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2024-02-24MTL 3–4 NJD0G 1A 4S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-17MTL 3–2 NJD1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-24MTL 2–5 NJD0G 1A 2S3G 0A 6S
2022-12-12MTL 2–1 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-01MTL 2–1 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 0A 7S
2022-03-03MTL 5–4 CGY0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Toffoli done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 6–4. Caufield had 10 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 9 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →