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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Caufield's 1.6.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Fenwick 54.9%, Corsi 52.9%, Expected goals 53.8%.

Smith's biggest edges: Ascension score 64, Hardest shot 90.3, Offensive-zone start % 68.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldSmith
Goals (+2)1.180.90
Assists (+1)0.430.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.24
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldSmith
2Team record in 4 meetings2
4Points in those games4

Caufield 3G 1A, 9 SOG · Smith 2G 2A, 5 SOG

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

12:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
5–13
27.8%
Expected goals
0.1–1.2
6.0%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Will Smith
DateScoreCaufieldSmith
2026-03-14MTL 2–4 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-03MTL 5–7 SJS0G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2025-02-27MTL 4–3 SJS1G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2025-02-04MTL 4–3 SJS1G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Smith done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 2–2. Caufield had 4 points (3 goals) and Smith had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →