Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Jared Spurgeon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Spurgeon had 22 in 79 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Spurgeon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.
Connor Bedard has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 50, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Luck Meter +36.
Spurgeon's biggest edges: High-danger chances 51.4%, Expected goals 51.4%, Plus/minus +2.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Jared Spurgeon
1.48
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Spurgeon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.15 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.11 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.87 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Spurgeon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 3G 7A, 34 SOG · Spurgeon 5G 1A, 16 SOG
Bedard blocked 1 of Spurgeon's shots; Spurgeon blocked 0 of Bedard's.
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
25:45 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–12
- 61.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.2
- 81.7%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Spurgeon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | CHI 2–1 MIN | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-17 | CHI 3–4 MIN | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-27 | CHI 3–4 MIN | 0G 1A 8S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-26 | CHI 3–4 MIN | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-26 | CHI 2–4 MIN | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-23 | CHI 3–4 MIN | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-29 | CHI 2–3 MIN | 0G 1A 4S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-10 | CHI 2–1 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-03 | CHI 1–4 MIN | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Jared Spurgeon
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Jared Spurgeon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Spurgeon had 22 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Jared Spurgeon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor Bedard leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Spurgeon done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 2–7. Bedard had 10 points (3 goals) and Spurgeon had 6 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →