Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor Bedard vs Matt Roy

Connor BedardConnor BedardBlackhawks · CentrevsMatt RoyMatt RoyCapitals · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.

Connor Bedard has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bedard's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 50, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Luck Meter +36.

Roy's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Hits 117, High-danger chances 51.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBedardRoy
Goals (+2)0.870.05
Assists (+1)0.650.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.12
Hits (+0.1)0.040.15
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.92

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bedard vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BedardRoy
1Team record in 6 meetings5
1Points in those games1

Bedard 0G 1A, 14 SOG · Roy 0G 1A, 4 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Bedard blocked 0 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 2 of Bedard's.

On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)

5:44 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side

Shot attempts
0–3
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor Bedard and Matt Roy
DateScoreBedardRoy
2026-01-09CHI 1–5 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-04CHI 3–5 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-17CHI 3–2 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-18CHI 4–5 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-19CHI 2–6 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-15CHI 0–5 LAK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BedardRoy

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor Bedard or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor Bedard or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor Bedard leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bedard and Roy done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 1–5. Bedard had 1 points (0 goals) and Roy had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →