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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor Bedard vs Matthew Schaefer

Connor BedardConnor BedardBlackhawks · CentrevsMatthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferIslanders · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.

Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Schaefer has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Schaefer's 2.4.

Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bedard's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 50, Hardest shot 90.7, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Fenwick 50.3%, Scoring chances 49.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.11

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBedardSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.870.56
Assists (+1)0.650.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.27
Hits (+0.1)0.040.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bedard vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BedardSchaefer
1Team record in 1 meetings0
0Points in those games1

Bedard 0G 0A, 4 SOG · Schaefer 0G 1A, 8 SOG

On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)

12:15 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side

Shot attempts
15–27
35.7%
Expected goals
0.4–1.2
23.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor Bedard and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreBedardSchaefer
2026-03-24CHI 4–3 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 1A 8S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BedardSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor Bedard or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor Bedard or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bedard and Schaefer done against each other?
In 1 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 1–0. Bedard had 0 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →