Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Nick Schmaltz
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Schmaltz had 74 in 82 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Schmaltz has 2 left. We project Schmaltz for 3.1 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.4.
Nick Schmaltz has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.85, Penalty minutes 50, Draw Equity /100 −0.024.
Schmaltz's biggest edges: Fenwick 55.7%, Scoring chances 55.7%, Plus/minus +17.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Nick Schmaltz
2.04
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Schmaltz |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Schmaltz
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 5G 10A, 36 SOG · Schmaltz 2G 5A, 27 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 2–2 · Bedard's defensive zone 1–2 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
Bedard blocked 0 of Schmaltz's shots; Schmaltz blocked 2 of Bedard's.
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
17:29 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–21
- 41.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.7
- 57.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Schmaltz |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | CHI 3–2 UTA | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-03-09 | CHI 3–2 UTA | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-03-01 | CHI 4–0 UTA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-13 | CHI 3–1 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-30 | CHI 2–5 UTA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-07 | CHI 4–3 UTA | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-25 | CHI 1–2 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-08 | CHI 2–5 UTA | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-03-10 | CHI 7–4 ARI | 2G 1A 7S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2024-03-05 | CHI 5–2 ARI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-30 | CHI 1–8 ARI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Nick Schmaltz
3games (2 left)
3.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.7 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Nick Schmaltz in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Schmaltz had 74 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Nick Schmaltz?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Schmaltz leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Schmaltz done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 7–4. Bedard had 15 points (5 goals) and Schmaltz had 7 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Schmaltz?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 3 and Schmaltz 6 of their 9 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →