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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor Bedard vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Connor BedardConnor BedardBlackhawks · CentrevsPavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.

Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Pavel Dorofeyev has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bedard's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 315, 20+ mph bursts 195, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 57.0%, Corsi 56.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBedardDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.870.90
Assists (+1)0.650.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.28
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bedard vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BedardDorofeyev
2Team record in 7 meetings5
5Points in those games7

Bedard 2G 3A, 16 SOG · Dorofeyev 5G 2A, 23 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)

6:58 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side

Shot attempts
6–7
46.2%
Expected goals
0.0–0.3
12.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor Bedard and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreBedardDorofeyev
2026-03-14CHI 0–4 VGK0G 0A 2S2G 1A 5S
2025-12-02CHI 3–4 VGK1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-28CHI 3–5 VGK0G 1A 0S1G 0A 1S
2025-02-27CHI 5–7 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2025-01-18CHI 5–3 VGK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2024-04-16CHI 1–3 VGK0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-10-27CHI 4–3 VGK1G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BedardDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor Bedard or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor Bedard or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Dorofeyev leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bedard and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 2–5. Bedard had 5 points (2 goals) and Dorofeyev had 7 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →