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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor Bedard vs Rasmus Dahlin

Connor BedardConnor BedardBlackhawks · CentrevsRasmus DahlinRasmus DahlinSabres · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10.

Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games.

This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dahlin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.4.

Rasmus Dahlin has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bedard's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Transition attempts /60 1.85.

Dahlin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, High-danger chances 53.6%, Scoring chances 52.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Rasmus Dahlin

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBedardDahlin
Goals (+2)0.870.49
Assists (+1)0.650.71
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.25
Hits (+0.1)0.040.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.51

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bedard vs Dahlin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BedardDahlin
0Team record in 5 meetings5
4Points in those games9

Bedard 0G 4A, 9 SOG · Dahlin 1G 8A, 9 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Bedard blocked 0 of Dahlin's shots; Dahlin blocked 1 of Bedard's.

On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)

14:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side

Shot attempts
8–15
34.8%
Expected goals
0.1–1.2
10.9%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between Connor Bedard and Rasmus Dahlin
DateScoreBedardDahlin
2026-04-13CHI 1–5 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 2A 0S
2025-11-21CHI 3–9 BUF0G 2A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-12-27CHI 2–6 BUF0G 1A 4S0G 2A 3S
2024-10-19CHI 2–4 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-19CHI 2–3 BUF0G 1A 2S1G 2A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BedardDahlin

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Rasmus Dahlin

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor Bedard or Rasmus Dahlin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor Bedard or Rasmus Dahlin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Dahlin leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bedard and Dahlin done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 0–5. Bedard had 4 points (0 goals) and Dahlin had 9 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →