Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Robert Thomas
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left; Thomas has 1 left. We project Bedard for 2.2 ESPN points to Thomas's 2.0.
Robert Thomas has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.7, Transition attempts /60 1.85, Shots on goal 226.
Thomas's biggest edges: Plus/minus +22, Scoring chances 56.0%, Expected goals 57.2%.
Head to head on the dot, Thomas leads Bedard 22–17.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Robert Thomas
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Thomas
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 1G 8A, 22 SOG · Thomas 4G 8A, 23 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 4–3 · neutral 8–14 · Bedard's defensive zone 5–5 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
Bedard blocked 1 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 0 of Bedard's.
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
20:08 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–22
- 38.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–1.8
- 30.7%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Thomas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CHI 3–5 STL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-12 | CHI 2–3 STL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-10-15 | CHI 8–3 STL | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-22 | CHI 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-08 | CHI 5–6 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-12-31 | CHI 2–6 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-10 | CHI 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | CHI 5–7 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-09 | CHI 3–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-26 | CHI 2–4 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.2 pts
Robert Thomas
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Robert Thomas?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Robert Thomas leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Thomas done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 2–8. Bedard had 9 points (1 goals) and Thomas had 12 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Thomas?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 17 and Thomas 22 of their 39 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →