Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.85, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, 20+ mph bursts 195.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.8%, Scoring chances 53.3%, Plus/minus +8.
Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Bedard 20–13.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.98
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.62 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.41 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 5G 6A, 37 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 5A, 23 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 1–8 · neutral 7–5 · Bedard's defensive zone 5–7 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
22:20 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–20
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–1.0
- 53.2%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-02-26 | CHI 2–4 NSH | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-10 | CHI 3–0 NSH | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-28 | CHI 3–4 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-08 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-07 | CHI 6–2 NSH | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-25 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-12 | CHI 1–5 NSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-02 | CHI 0–3 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-12-05 | CHI 3–4 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-18 | CHI 2–4 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 2–10. Bedard had 11 points (5 goals) and O'Reilly had 9 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 13 and O'Reilly 20 of their 33 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →