Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stamkos has 1 left. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Stamkos's 1.6.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Transition attempts /60 1.85, Luck Meter +38.
Stamkos's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.8%, Scoring chances 52.7%, Forecheck xG /60 0.43.
Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Bedard 9–3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.05
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 1.02 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.29 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 7G 6A, 36 SOG · Stamkos 8G 2A, 32 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 2–4 · Bedard's defensive zone 1–3 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
21:22 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–17
- 45.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.8
- 56.0%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-02-26 | CHI 2–4 NSH | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-10 | CHI 3–0 NSH | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-28 | CHI 3–4 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-08 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 0G 1A 4S | 3G 0A 7S |
| 2025-02-07 | CHI 6–2 NSH | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-25 | CHI 2–3 NSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-16 | CHI 2–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-11-09 | CHI 5–3 TBL | 2G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 7S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.6 ptsSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 3–7. Bedard had 13 points (7 goals) and Stamkos had 10 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 3 and Stamkos 9 of their 12 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →