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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs David Pastrnak

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to David Pastrnak's 2.44.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Pastrnak had 100 in 77 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Pastrnak has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.6, Faceoffs won 457, Ascension score 62.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.1, On-ice PDO 1027, Hits 86.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidPastrnak
Goals (+2)1.150.66
Assists (+1)1.320.93
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.35
Hits (+0.1)0.050.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Pastrnak

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidPastrnak
9Team record in 15 meetings6
20Points in those games14

McDavid 7G 13A, 56 SOG · Pastrnak 9G 5A, 59 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

McDavid's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 1–0 (2017-18)

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

8:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
9–4
69.2%
Expected goals
1.0–0.2
83.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and David Pastrnak
DateScoreMcDavidPastrnak
2025-12-31EDM 2–6 BOS0G 1A 9S2G 1A 6S
2025-12-18EDM 3–1 BOS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-07EDM 4–0 BOS1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-19EDM 3–2 BOS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-03-05EDM 2–1 BOS0G 2A 7S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-21EDM 5–6 BOS0G 2A 4S1G 1A 5S
2023-03-09EDM 3–2 BOS0G 0A 1S1G 1A 6S
2023-02-27EDM 2–3 BOS2G 0A 5S0G 1A 4S
2021-12-09EDM 2–3 BOS0G 2A 4S0G 0A 4S
2021-11-11EDM 5–3 BOS0G 1A 4S1G 1A 8S
2020-01-04EDM 4–1 BOS1G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S
2018-10-18EDM 3–2 BOS0G 2A 2S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidPastrnak

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or David Pastrnak in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to David Pastrnak's 2.44. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Pastrnak had 100 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or David Pastrnak?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Pastrnak done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 9–6. McDavid had 20 points (7 goals) and Pastrnak had 14 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Pastrnak?
Against each other, McDavid has won 1 and Pastrnak 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →