Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Emil Heineman
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Emil Heineman's 1.57.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Heineman had 31 in 82 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Heineman has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Heineman's 1.2.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: High-danger chances 57.5%, Plus/minus +17, Assists 90.
Heineman's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.3, Hits 247, Blocked shots 54.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Emil Heineman
1.57
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Heineman |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.10 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.02 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Heineman
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 0G 3A, 14 SOG · Heineman 0G 1A, 4 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
8:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–4
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.1
- 71.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Heineman |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | EDM 0–1 NYI | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-16 | EDM 2–4 NYI | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3–2 MTL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-18 | EDM 0–3 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Emil Heineman
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.2 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Emil Heineman in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Emil Heineman's 1.57. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Heineman had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Emil Heineman?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Heineman done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 1–3. McDavid had 3 points (0 goals) and Heineman had 1 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Heineman?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 1 and Heineman 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →