Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Toews
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jonathan Toews's 0.89.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Toews had 29 in 82 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toews has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Toews's 0.7.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.12, Plus/minus +17, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05.
Toews's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 62.1%, Hardest shot 88.1, Draw Equity /100 +0.128.
Head to head on the dot, Toews leads McDavid 45–20.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.21
fantasy points per game
Jonathan Toews
0.89
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Toews |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.17 | 0.27 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.10 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Toews
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 8G 16A, 60 SOG · Toews 3G 4A, 45 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 4–13 · neutral 7–20 · McDavid's defensive zone 9–12 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
McDavid blocked 0 of Toews's shots; Toews blocked 1 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
8:06 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–7
- 36.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.4
- 49.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Toews |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | EDM 4–3 WPG | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-29 | EDM 3–1 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-06 | EDM 6–2 WPG | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-28 | EDM 7–3 CHI | 1G 2A 6S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-30 | EDM 5–4 CHI | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-27 | EDM 6–5 CHI | 3G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-03 | EDM 3–4 CHI | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-20 | EDM 5–2 CHI | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2020-03-05 | EDM 3–4 CHI | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2019-10-14 | EDM 1–3 CHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2019-02-05 | EDM 2–6 CHI | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2018-11-01 | EDM 4–0 CHI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Jonathan Toews
2games (1 left)
0.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET0.7 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Jonathan Toews in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jonathan Toews's 0.89. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Toews had 29 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Jonathan Toews?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Toews done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 10–6. McDavid had 24 points (8 goals) and Toews had 7 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Toews?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 20 and Toews 45 of their 65 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →