Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Kirill Marchenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 457, High-danger chances 57.5%, Forecheck xG /60 0.36.
Marchenko's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.7, On-ice PDO 1024, Blocked shots 40.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Kirill Marchenko
1.92
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.52 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Marchenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 5G 10A, 26 SOG · Marchenko 3G 4A, 16 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 1–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
6:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–7
- 58.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.3
- 71.0%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | EDM 4–5 CBJ | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-10 | EDM 5–4 CBJ | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-05 | EDM 6–3 CBJ | 0G 4A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-28 | EDM 1–6 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2024-03-07 | EDM 2–4 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-23 | EDM 4–1 CBJ | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-25 | EDM 5–6 CBJ | 2G 2A 7S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-25 | EDM 2–3 CBJ | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Kirill Marchenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Marchenko done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 3–5. McDavid had 15 points (5 goals) and Marchenko had 7 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Marchenko?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 1 and Marchenko 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →