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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Lucas Raymond

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Raymond had 76 in 80 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Raymond has 1 left. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Raymond's 2.0.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 457, High-danger chances 57.5%, Scoring chances 54.1%.

Raymond's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.5, Goals above expected +1.7, On-ice PDO 998.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Lucas Raymond

1.78

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidRaymond
Goals (+2)1.150.59
Assists (+1)1.320.60
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.22
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Raymond

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidRaymond
6Team record in 9 meetings3
18Points in those games5

McDavid 3G 15A, 33 SOG · Raymond 1G 4A, 17 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

McDavid's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

McDavid blocked 0 of Raymond's shots; Raymond blocked 1 of McDavid's.

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

20:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
17–16
51.5%
Expected goals
1.0–0.4
69.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Lucas Raymond
DateScoreMcDavidRaymond
2025-12-11EDM 4–1 DET0G 4A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-19EDM 2–4 DET0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2025-01-30EDM 2–3 DET0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-27EDM 3–2 DET0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-13EDM 8–4 DET0G 6A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-11EDM 3–2 DET1G 0A 7S0G 1A 3S
2023-02-07EDM 5–2 DET0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-03-15EDM 7–5 DET1G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2021-11-09EDM 2–4 DET1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidRaymond

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Lucas Raymond

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Lucas Raymond in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Raymond had 76 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Lucas Raymond?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Raymond done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 6–3. McDavid had 18 points (3 goals) and Raymond had 5 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Raymond?
Against each other, McDavid has won 1 and Raymond 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →