Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Matt Boldy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Boldy's 2.55.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left; Boldy has 1 left. We project McDavid for 3.2 ESPN points to Boldy's 2.7.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Top skating speed 24.6, Offensive-zone start % 65.6%.

Boldy's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.6, On-ice PDO 1031, Blocked shots 58.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Matt Boldy

2.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidBoldy
Goals (+2)1.151.04
Assists (+1)1.320.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.34
Hits (+0.1)0.050.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Boldy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidBoldy
4Team record in 13 meetings9
17Points in those games16

McDavid 6G 11A, 46 SOG · Boldy 9G 7A, 38 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other1

McDavid's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 1–1 · McDavid's defensive zone 2–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other0

McDavid blocked 1 of Boldy's shots; Boldy blocked 0 of McDavid's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

29:07 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
42–26
61.8%
Expected goals
1.9–1.2
61.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Matt Boldy
DateScoreMcDavidBoldy
2026-01-31EDM 3–7 MIN0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-20EDM 2–5 MIN1G 0A 6S2G 0A 4S
2025-12-02EDM 0–1 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-15EDM 5–3 MIN2G 1A 3S1G 1A 7S
2024-12-12EDM 7–1 MIN0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-21EDM 3–5 MIN0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2024-02-23EDM 2–4 MIN0G 2A 6S2G 0A 7S
2023-12-08EDM 4–3 MIN1G 1A 4S1G 1A 2S
2022-12-12EDM 1–2 MIN0G 1A 3S1G 1A 4S
2022-12-09EDM 5–2 MIN1G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-01EDM 3–5 MIN1G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-04-12EDM 1–5 MIN0G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidBoldy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA3.2 pts

Matt Boldy

2games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS2.7 pts

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Matt Boldy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Boldy's 2.55. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Matt Boldy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Boldy done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 4–9. McDavid had 17 points (6 goals) and Boldy had 16 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Boldy?
Against each other, McDavid has won 4 and Boldy 1 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →