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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Mika Zibanejad

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mika Zibanejad's 2.27.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Zibanejad had 78 in 81 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zibanejad has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Zibanejad's 1.4.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Ascension score 62, Transition attempts /60 2.12.

Zibanejad's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.4, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.001, Hits 105.

Head to head on the dot, Zibanejad leads McDavid 45–37.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Mika Zibanejad

2.27

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidZibanejad
Goals (+2)1.150.81
Assists (+1)1.320.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.25
Hits (+0.1)0.050.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Zibanejad

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidZibanejad
10Team record in 15 meetings5
22Points in those games10

McDavid 9G 13A, 43 SOG · Zibanejad 7G 3A, 47 SOG

37Faceoffs against each other45

McDavid's offensive zone 11–10 · neutral 22–26 · McDavid's defensive zone 4–9 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other1

McDavid blocked 2 of Zibanejad's shots; Zibanejad blocked 1 of McDavid's.

2Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

9:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
11–18
37.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.6
33.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Mika Zibanejad
DateScoreMcDavidZibanejad
2025-10-30EDM 3–4 NYR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-14EDM 2–0 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-16EDM 3–1 NYR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-23EDM 6–2 NYR2G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-22EDM 4–3 NYR0G 1A 1S1G 1A 4S
2023-02-17EDM 4–5 NYR0G 2A 4S1G 1A 3S
2022-11-26EDM 4–3 NYR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-03EDM 1–4 NYR0G 0A 7S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-05EDM 6–5 NYR1G 2A 2S2G 0A 4S
2019-12-31EDM 7–5 NYR0G 1A 2S1G 0A 7S
2019-10-12EDM 4–1 NYR1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-03-11EDM 3–2 NYR1G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidZibanejad

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Mika Zibanejad

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Mika Zibanejad in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mika Zibanejad's 2.27. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Zibanejad had 78 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Mika Zibanejad?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Zibanejad done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 10–5. McDavid had 22 points (9 goals) and Zibanejad had 10 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Zibanejad?
Against each other, McDavid has won 37 and Zibanejad 45 of their 82 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →