Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Miro Heiskanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Miro Heiskanen's 2.19.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Heiskanen had 63 in 77 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left; Heiskanen has 1 left. We project McDavid for 3.2 ESPN points to Heiskanen's 2.2.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Ascension score 62, Penalty minutes 44.

Heiskanen's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.037, On-ice PDO 1017, Blocked shots 132.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Miro Heiskanen

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidHeiskanen
Goals (+2)1.150.22
Assists (+1)1.320.66
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.19
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Heiskanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidHeiskanen
15Team record in 28 meetings13
39Points in those games20

McDavid 11G 28A, 100 SOG · Heiskanen 5G 15A, 59 SOG

3Hits on each other3
4Shots blocked by the other5

McDavid blocked 4 of Heiskanen's shots; Heiskanen blocked 5 of McDavid's.

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

24:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
21–30
41.2%
Expected goals
1.1–2.9
26.9%
Goals
2–6

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Miro Heiskanen
DateScoreMcDavidHeiskanen
2026-03-12EDM 2–7 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 3A 0S
2025-11-25EDM 3–8 DAL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-04EDM 3–4 DAL1G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S
2025-05-29 · POEDM 6–3 DAL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-05-27 · POEDM 4–1 DAL0G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-05-25 · POEDM 6–1 DAL2G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-23 · POEDM 3–0 DAL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-21 · POEDM 3–6 DAL0G 2A 4S1G 1A 2S
2024-10-19EDM 1–4 DAL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-06-02 · POEDM 2–1 DAL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-31 · POEDM 3–1 DAL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-05-29 · POEDM 5–2 DAL0G 3A 5S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidHeiskanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA3.2 pts

Miro Heiskanen

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Miro Heiskanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Miro Heiskanen's 2.19. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Heiskanen had 63 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Miro Heiskanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Heiskanen done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 15–13. McDavid had 39 points (11 goals) and Heiskanen had 20 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →