Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Connor McDavidConnor McDavidOilers · CentrevsPavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 457, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, 20+ mph bursts 681.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.3, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.034, Goals above expected +2.5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidDorofeyev
Goals (+2)1.150.86
Assists (+1)1.320.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.30
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidDorofeyev
7Team record in 12 meetings5
16Points in those games3

McDavid 3G 13A, 36 SOG · Dorofeyev 2G 1A, 37 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

McDavid blocked 0 of Dorofeyev's shots; Dorofeyev blocked 1 of McDavid's.

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

14:35 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
13–16
44.8%
Expected goals
0.6–1.0
36.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreMcDavidDorofeyev
2026-04-04EDM 1–5 VGK0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2026-03-26EDM 4–3 VGK1G 2A 2S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-08EDM 4–2 VGK0G 2A 1S0G 0A 5S
2025-12-21EDM 4–3 VGK1G 2A 5S1G 0A 6S
2025-05-14 · POEDM 1–0 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2025-05-12 · POEDM 3–0 VGK0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2025-05-10 · POEDM 3–4 VGK1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-14EDM 6–3 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-03EDM 0–1 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-06EDM 2–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-28EDM 7–4 VGK0G 3A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-25EDM 3–4 VGK0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 7–5. McDavid had 16 points (3 goals) and Dorofeyev had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →